Domestic energy prices will fall by 16% in April, according to a prediction by consultancy Cornwall Insight, bringing some relief to billpayers.
It said the annual household bill when using a typical amount of gas and electricity was expected to drop from £1,928 to £1,620.
Households have endured two years of high prices, but analysts suggest there could be a further fall in the summer.
Bills would still be higher than the pre-crisis norm.
The prediction is not guaranteed, as it will be another month before the regulator, Ofgem, sets its price cap for the second quarter of the year.
"Healthy energy stocks and a positive supply outlook are keeping the wholesale market stable. If this continues, we could see energy costs hitting their lowest since the Russian invasion of Ukraine," said Craig Lowrey, principal consultant at Cornwall Insight.
There remains uncertainty over wholesale oil prices owing to disruption in the Red Sea, and wider tensions in the region, but so far that has not affected prices. Supplies of liquefied natural gas from the US, and low prices in the Asian market, have kept prices down.
"Concerns that events in the Red Sea would lead to a spike in energy bills have so far proved premature, and households can breathe a sigh of relief that prices are still forecast to fall," Mr Lowrey said.
"Though recent trends hint at possible stabilisation, a full return to pre-crisis energy bills isn't on the horizon."
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